Monday, February 11, 2008
Sunday, February 10, 2008
Sunday Malamute Blogging
Thursday, February 07, 2008
Thoughts on Super Tuesday
Obama's biggest victories on Super Tuesday (not counting Illinois, which is a gimme, just as I wouldn't count either Arkansas or New York for Clinton) were in either 1) primary states where black voters make up a very large share of the Democratic vote -- Alabama, Georgia (about half) -- of Democratic voters, though in Delaware blacks were about a quarter of primary voters or 2) in caucus states (Idaho, Alaska, Colorado, Minnesota, North Dakota and Kansas), which reflect mobilization of activists, not appeal to the electorate.
In the other primary states, he and Clinton ran basically neck and neck (CT and MO) or she beat him handily (CA, NJ, TN, MA -- where all the Kennedys in the world, John Kerry and Deval Patrick couldn't help him), again not counting NY and AR, where she also won handily.
This repeats the pattern of Jesse Jackson's 1988 campaign, where 9 of his 13 victories while the nomination was still in play were in caucus rather than primary states. It also reinforces suspicion that Obama's "historic first" is mainly an ultimately amnesiac replay of the feel-good diversion that was Jackson's campaign, which was also touted as basically the same "historic first." The difference here is that Obama is more conservative than Jackson and offers patter about "hope" and "transcendence" and post-partisan "bringing us together" instead of "hope" and bringing together the "locked out."
As I reminded my class Tuesday, only five black people have been elected to serve either as governor or US senator -- i.e., to significant statewide office -- since the end of Reconstruction. One of those, Ed Brooke, was a two-term MA liberal Republican in the Senate, another, Patrick, was just elected MA governor. Of the others, Carol Moseley Braun was a one-term senator elected on a fluke -- an unanticipated three-way split in the Democratic primary that she won with little more than a third of the vote, a weak GOP opponent put up as part of a rotten deal between the Bush administration and the incumbent Democratic senator to get his vote for Clarence Thomas's confirmation to the Supreme Court, and a Year of the Woman bounce, partly motivated by the Thomas/Hill controversy, that got her a lot of suburban Chicago Republican women's votes. Obama, as has been his good fortune in all but one -- when he was trounced in a challenge for Bobby Rush's Congressional seat -- of his electoral races, ran basically unopposed for his US Senate seat.
In the cold light of this record, it's difficult to believe that he could win the presidency. I'm not sure that he's garnered a majority of white Democratic voters in any of the primary states yet.
On the basis of demographics, I imagine he'll win Louisiana and that it'll follow the same pattern as the other southern primaries. It's true, on the one hand, that these are southern states, where we should expect white racial voting to be especially pronounced, but, on the other hand, Democratic primaries are skewed, somewhat less so if they permit crossover voting, toward those white voters who don't mind voting the same way blacks do.
This might seem to add up to an argument that HRC is more electable, but the problem, of course, is that she has her own baggage that will weigh her down in the presidential race. My sense is that the GOP are just waiting in preparation for either of them much as General Giap waited for the French paratroopers to dig in at Dienbienphu.
Addendum: The states in which Obama has done best -- the southern primary states and most of the caucus states except Minnesota and North Dakota -- are states Dems have little to no chance of carrying in November. His boosters' claims that his performance in those states is an indication of his crossover appeal are ridiculous. In the southern states a white Republican bloc vote will overwhelm the black vote. In the caucus states he hasn't met any electoral challenge at all.
Monday, February 04, 2008
Between Barack and a hard place
And Hillary? She's too damn far to the right. Although I get the feeling that she's more likely to bring the fight to the Republicans than our boy, Barry, is. They hate her guts and she apparently thrives on it. Barack wants everyone to like him. He'll sell us all out.
Damn you, John Edwards! Couldn't you have hung on until the day after tomorrow?
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
John Edwards Drops Out
He was both the most progressive candidate on issues and the most electable on paper, and yet he did not get the support of most progressives or most professionals. This despite the fact that he actually ran a terrific campaign and, more than Obama and Hillary, defined it in a positive direction. That he forced the other candidates to respond did not end up mattering as much as the media's fascination with all things Clintonian, Obamian, and the egregiously awful coverage of Edwards. The Washington Post deserves special mention for its idiotic 1,300-word piece on his haircut and an even longer one on his house. Richard Cohen and Michael Dobbs both called him a liar and presented no evidence. The editorial board attacked him constantly. The New York Times also went in for the "How can you care about poor people when you're so rich?" line of questioning, which implies that poor people are unentitled to representation in the American political system, since it allows for only wealthy people to run. And Maureen Dowd was her usual awful, substanceless self, helping to set the tone for the rest, to the shame of all of us.
Monday, January 28, 2008
Charlie Pierce Gets It Right...Again
As I was watching the debate the other night -- the Democratic one where Anderson Cooper came on afterwards and got to pretend to be Angelo Dundee -- I was struck by Senator Obama's resolute assertion that he was the candidate that can come to Washington and work with "independents and Republicans" to get things done. (One of his new ads has him sitting next to Dick Lugar, a Republican senator only slightly more relevant today than is Arthur Vandenberg.) I was struck even harder by it as I watched the Democratic Senate go supine, selling out poor Chris Dodd and the Constitution, and concocting retroactive alibis for the Telecom giants in a week where we finally got the empirical count of prewar Iraq lies. Here's my deal with His Barackosity. Take the list of Republican congresscritters, House and Senate. Make me a list of 10 of them with whom you think you can work to achieve anything close to the progressive goals you have said you want to achieve. Give me an honest run, and I guarantee you that you can't do it. You may get "something done" but it's not going to have anything to do with anything resembling the values of the party you seek to represent. This is a party that has to be forcibly disenthralled from its lunatic base.
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Democratic Irrelevance
For too long, we have watched the other political parties make concession after concession to the corporations that rule this state while our jobs have disappeared, our incomes have eroded and our children have gone uneducated. We are tired of the politics of fear and division that keep us divided and weak. We understand that only a party that is run by and for working people can speak to our real concerns.The situation in South Carolina is bleak. As the 2006 Labor Party analysis noted:
We will conduct a never-ending campaign to secure the promise of the American Dream of opportunity, fairness and justice for all South Carolinians.
We will fight to create and preserve decent jobs and living wages for all who want to work.
We will work to establish the right to universal and quality health care in our state.
We believe that every South Carolinian deserves equal and free access to educational opportunity from pre-school through college to the maximum of their human potential.
South Carolina has the seventh slowest rate of wage growth in the United States. This is partly because the state is one of only six that have no state minimum wage. It ranks 48th in job growth, ahead of only hurricane and FEMA-ravaged Mississippi and Louisiana.
The state also has the second highest rate of unemployment in the nation and lost 76,000 manufacturing and textile jobs between 1999 and 2004. Unsurprisingly, therefore, in key textile areas, such as Chester County, unemployment is greater than 10 percent.
More than 600,000 South Carolinians—over 14 percent of the entire state—are without health insurance, and this, of course, doesn’t count the thousands who think they have insurance until they get sick. To compound this problem the state legislature and governor adopted a “reform” that will eliminate traditional Medicaid in the state and replace it with skimpy personal health care accounts. They did this without significant Democratic opposition.
Working people in South Carolina clearly are hurting, and neither major party is at all inclined to address their most pressing concerns. Politicians from both parties boast that the state’s average wages are 20 percent below the national average. Republicans offer working people only corporate plunder and bigotry. Democrats abet them.
In just the last five years, Republicans have sought to divide South Carolina’s workers over whether the Confederate battle flag should fly at the state capitol, whether prohibition of same-sex marriage and civil unions should be written into the state constitution, and whether evolution should be taught in the state’s public schools. They have been able to make these into “hot button” issues because Democrats have not countered them with a political agenda that seeks to unite working people by speaking to their real, everyday needs.
Forty of the state’s eighty-three districts are classified as “disadvantaged.” The situation is so dire in many of these districts that several joined in a lawsuit against the state for not living up to its obligation to provide decent education to all South Carolina’s children.
The state Supreme Court ruled this past December that South Carolina’s only obligation is to provide a “minimally adequate” education. The remedy the court imposed is that K-3 education must be improved in the school districts that sued.
With only a shoestring operation, the South Carolina Labor Party was able to gain support among multiracial, working people for a progressive agenda directed at redressing these wrongs.
The SCLP is not itself going to win the state for progressive causes, but its minimal success should have pointed the way for Democrats supposedly interested in "change." The lesson here is that there's no need to pursue politics as usual, no need to tack to the right, to build a majority movement for progressive change.
Yet with three putatively progressive candidates vying to be the Democratic nominee for President of the United States, we’ve had a debate about South Carolina that has pushed these issues virtually off the table. Bob Herbert in the Times today noted the catastrophe that is South Carolina public schools, but emphasized only the racial dimensions of the problem, while even the idiotic David Brooks observed that conservative South Carolinians aren’t salivating at the mere mention of such issues as abortion. Nonetheless our would-be progressive leaders are hammering away at each other's character and integrity.
What was this election supposed to be about anyway?
Friday, January 18, 2008
Friday Malamute Blogging
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Obrother
So, to review what Barack Obama believes:
government expenditures in the '60s = bad / Ronald Reagan = good
Let's take a closer look with Matthew Saroff and Phil Gaspar.
Excesses of the '60s:
- Voting Rights Act
- Civil Rights Act of 1964
- Medicare
- the opening of social welfare programs to people of color
- fired 11,000 air traffic controllers in 1981 -- one of the most devastating union busting moves of the past century
- his vision of deregulation opened up the country for the wholesale thievery of the savings & loan crisis
- underfunded federal programs dealing with AIDS; believed people suffering and dying from AIDS were punished by God
- directed the Department of Agriculture to classify ketchup as a vegetable in September 1981 in an attempt to slash $1.5 billion from the federal school lunch program
- presided over the worst recession since the 1930s
- opposition to civil rights
- spearheaded class warfare on behalf of the rich
- supported apartheid in South Africa
- trained and supported terrorists, including the Nicaraguan contras and Islamic radicals in Afghanistan who later formed the al-Qaeda network.
Friday, January 11, 2008
News from the political front
Quoth Stephens:
The further away you get from Chicago, though, the more the saintly image takes hold. Publications like the New Yorker may coo for pages over "the conciliator", but the two Chicago newspapers are much more interested in Obama's close 17-year friendship with Antoin "Tony" Rezko, a long-time Obama donor and property developer awaiting trial on charges of attempted extortion, money laundering and fraud. A low-income housing project received more than $14m from taxpayers while Obama was a state senator, but he consistently denied that he had done any favours for Rezko.
All of this would matter little if there were some truly progressive politics being furthered by the self presentation, but alas . . .
Saturday, January 05, 2008
Saturday, December 29, 2007
Toward a more active activism
Sitting This One Out
By Adolph L. Reed Jr.
November 2007 IssueOK, HERE WE ARE AGAIN, a year out from a Presidential election, and we’re all supposed to be figuring out which of the Democrats has the best chance to win—determined mainly by the standard of raising the most money—and subordinating all our substantive political concerns to the objective of getting him or her elected. This time, I’m not going to acquiesce in the fiction that the Presidential charade has any credibility whatsoever. I’m not paying any attention to the horse race coverage—that mass-mediated positioning in the battle for superficial product differentiation.
...
Thursday, December 27, 2007
Christmas in Oaxaca

Kate has a beautiful post up over at Broken Windows describing the Dia de la Natividad festivities in Oaxaca.
Afterwards, Jonathan took us to a nameless clandestine cantina on the north side of town. The cantina is run by Enrique and his wife. When we arrived, the women of the posada were still eating and drinking chocolate. The posada is a religious function, a sort of parade of its own, that goes from house to house on holy days and ends at a host house that serves food and chocolate. Gathered along the front part of the little courtyard of the cantina were a dozen women eating dressed hot dogs. Just beyond them were a few little tables and a bar (which in traditional cantinas like this one serves more as a buffet table). Enrique served us mezcal from old Smirnoff bottles and one of the young women gave us each a little plastic bag filled with Christmas cookies and candies. They offered us some of the posada hot dogs, but we were all completely stuffed. Later we were served beers, queso fresco, salsa, and tostadas, which are crisp, baked tortillas. The cantina is really a part of Ernesto’s house, with a public outhouse in the center of the courtyard, potted plants, and a corrugated metal door held shut with a couple of rusted steel bars. Some of the family’s clothes were hanging to dry on the clothesline near our table. Jonathan told us that it is not uncommon for there to be copal incense burning in the front while Ernesto’s devout mother and wife pray just feet away from the cantina tables where customers drink mezcal and beers and tell all matter of stories. It’s just pure, beautiful, Oaxacan complexity in one little house.
Wednesday, December 26, 2007
Sunday, December 23, 2007
Thursday, December 20, 2007
Tuesday, December 18, 2007
Mitt Can't Handle the Truth

Handle it? He has a hard time identifying it. Romney claimed on Meet the Press that he'd received an endorsement from the NRA during the 2002 gubernatorial race in MA. Turns out he didn't. He's also claimed to "hunt varmints." Turns out he only straps them to the roof of his station wagon on family road trips.
Monday, December 17, 2007
Why do Republicans Hate Animals?
we’ve got George Felix Allen “shoving” a severed deer’s head into a mailbox,
we’ve got Bush himself blowing up frogs by shoving firecrackers up their ass and lighting the fuse,
we’ve got one Janet Rowland comparing gay marriage to a man marrying a sheep, and of course,
we’ve got Willard Mitt Romney strapping his dog Seamus on top of his car until a “brown liquid” ran down the back window.
And now we’ve got the son of likeable Mike Huckabee, Republican candidate for President, killing a dog using a “particular process” that was, to say the least, not “kind.” Makes you wonder how these guys bring up their kids, doesn’t it?
If any of these Christian candidates are ever caught emulating Christ, please let me know.





